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Market Volatility: Prateek Agarwal Advises Gradual Deployment Amid Geopolitical Risks

Analyzing: Stay invested, deploy money gradually amid market volatility: Prateek Agarwal by et_markets · 12 Mar 2026, 12:04 PM IST (about 2 months ago)

What happened

Geopolitical tensions and trade route disruptions, specifically mentioning the Strait of Hormuz, are making investors cautious despite attractive stock valuations. This uncertainty is impacting global supply chains and oil prices, leading to a recommendation for gradual capital deployment.

Why it matters

For Indian markets, this means continued volatility and potential pressure on sectors reliant on global trade and stable energy prices. While valuations may appear attractive, the underlying geopolitical risks could delay a sustained market rally, making a cautious approach prudent for traders.

Impact on Indian markets

Oil & Gas companies like RELIANCE, IOC, BPCL, and HPCL face mixed impacts from crude price volatility. Logistics and Shipping companies such as SHIPPING, MAHLOG, and DELHIVERY could see negative impacts due to increased costs and disruptions in global trade routes. Companies with significant import/export exposure may also feel the pinch.

What traders should watch next

Traders should closely monitor developments in the Strait of Hormuz and broader geopolitical landscape for any de-escalation or further intensification. Key indicators to watch include crude oil prices, global shipping rates, and FII flows into Indian equities, which will signal shifts in investor sentiment and market stability.

Key Evidence

  • Geopolitical tensions and trade route disruptions are making investors cautious.
  • Market participants are closely monitoring the Strait of Hormuz due to its impact on oil prices and supply chains.
  • Uncertainty typically lowers valuations but can create opportunities once clarity emerges.
  • Continuity of trade is the key factor for market stabilization.
  • Prateek Agarwal advises staying invested and deploying money gradually.

Affected Stocks

RELIANCEReliance Industries Ltd
Mixed

As a major oil refiner and petrochemical player, RIL is sensitive to crude oil price volatility and supply chain disruptions. While higher oil prices can boost upstream, refining margins can be squeezed.

IOCIndian Oil Corporation Ltd
Mixed

Oil marketing companies are directly impacted by crude oil prices and supply chain stability. Volatility can affect inventory gains/losses and marketing margins.

BPCLBharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd
Mixed

Similar to IOC, BPCL's profitability is tied to crude oil prices and the stability of global supply chains.

HPCLHindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd
Mixed

HPCL, an oil marketing company, faces similar risks and opportunities from crude oil price fluctuations and supply chain disruptions.

SHIPPINGShipping Corporation of India Ltd
Negative

Disruptions in key trade routes like the Strait of Hormuz directly impact shipping costs, routes, and potentially volumes, affecting shipping companies.

MAHLOGMahindra Logistics Ltd
Negative

Logistics companies are vulnerable to increased freight costs and supply chain delays caused by geopolitical tensions and trade route disruptions.

DELHIVERYDelhivery Ltd
Negative

As a major logistics and supply chain services provider, Delhivery could see increased operational costs and potential delays due to global trade disruptions.

People in this Story

P
Prateek Agarwal

mentioned in article

provides investment advice amid market volatility

Sources and updates

Original source: et_markets
Published: 12 Mar 2026, 12:04 PM IST
Last updated on Anadi News: 12 Mar 2026, 12:13 PM IST

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