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US-Iran war: Russia, China to Israel — Who wants the Strait of Hormuz to open soon?

Analysis of this story by livemint_markets · 14 Mar 2026, 7:38 AM IST (about 2 months ago)

BEARISH(90%)
sell
-66ONGCIOCEnergyOil & Gas

AI Analysis

Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East directly impact global crude oil prices, which is a significant factor for India's energy import bill and inflation. Disruption in the Strait of Hormuz can severely restrict oil supply.

Trading Insight

Monitor crude oil futures (Brent/WTI) for sustained upward movement; consider long positions in upstream E&P companies and short positions in OMCs if prices remain elevated.
Quick check: ONGC bearish bias (-2.4% 1d), IOC bearish bias (-2.2% 1d).

Key Evidence

  • The US-Iran war persists with no signs of de-escalation.
  • The conflict benefits Russia through higher oil prices.
  • China may mitigate energy threats by increasing Russian oil imports.
  • The Strait of Hormuz is crucial for global oil transit, and its closure or disruption leads to higher oil prices.
  • Risk flag: Sudden de-escalation of US-Iran conflict

Affected Stocks

ONGCOil and Natural Gas Corporation
Positive

Higher crude oil prices generally benefit upstream oil producers like ONGC.

IOCIndian Oil Corporation
Negative

Higher crude oil prices increase input costs for oil marketing companies, potentially squeezing refining margins if price hikes are not fully passed on.

Sources and updates

Original source: livemint_markets
Published: 14 Mar 2026, 7:38 AM IST
Last updated on Anadi News: 14 Mar 2026, 8:24 AM IST

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US-Iran war: Russia, China to Israel — Who wants the Strait of Hormuz to open soon? | Anadi Algo News