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Crude oil prices surge over 40% in 15 days since US-Israel-Iran conflict began

Analysis of this story by et_companies · 14 Mar 2026, 10:29 AM IST (about 2 months ago)

BEARISH(95%)
sell
-68.2ONGCOILIOCOil & GasChemicals

AI Analysis

Rising crude prices are a major headwind for India, a net oil importer, leading to higher inflation and potential current account deficit concerns. This impacts energy-intensive sectors and consumer spending.

Trading Insight

Bearish bias for oil marketing companies and sectors with high energy input costs; bullish for domestic upstream oil producers. Maintain strict stop-losses due to geopolitical volatility.
Quick check: ONGC bearish bias (-2.4% 1d), OIL bearish bias (-1.8% 1d).

Key Evidence

  • Crude oil prices surged over 40% in 15 days.
  • The surge is attributed to the ongoing conflict involving the United States, Israel, and Iran.
  • The conflict has disrupted the energy supply route through the Strait of Hormuz.
  • Global energy markets, particularly in Asia, are affected.
  • Risk flag: Escalation or de-escalation of geopolitical tensions

Affected Stocks

ONGCOil and Natural Gas Corporation
Positive

Higher crude oil prices generally lead to increased realizations for upstream oil exploration and production companies.

OILOil India Ltd
Positive

Higher crude oil prices generally lead to increased realizations for upstream oil exploration and production companies.

IOCIndian Oil Corporation
Negative

As an oil marketing company, higher crude input costs will squeeze refining margins and increase working capital requirements, potentially leading to under-recoveries if retail prices are not fully passed on.

RELIANCEReliance Industries Ltd
Mixed

While its O2C (Oil to Chemicals) segment faces higher input costs, its upstream exploration and production business could benefit from higher crude prices. The overall impact depends on the balance of these segments and its retail/telecom businesses.

ATGLAdani Total Gas Ltd
Negative

Higher crude oil prices can indirectly impact natural gas prices and demand, potentially increasing input costs for city gas distribution companies.

GUJGASLTDGujarat Gas Ltd
Negative

Higher crude oil prices can indirectly impact natural gas prices and demand, potentially increasing input costs for city gas distribution companies.

Sources and updates

Original source: et_companies
Published: 14 Mar 2026, 10:29 AM IST
Last updated on Anadi News: 14 Mar 2026, 11:25 AM IST

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