News › Banking  ·  24 Sep 2026, 10:09 PM IST  ·  25 days ago

Bearish Risk: GST on UPI Merchant Fees Looms; PAYTM, Fintechs Under

Bias: Mildly Bearish -2485% confidenceBankingFintechBearish read

In one line — Negative bias for fintech stocks.

Bearish
Bullish
−1000-24 ●+100

Source: Economic Times · AI-summarised by Anadi · Updated 24 Sep 2026, 10:38 PM IST

Bankingtilt negative
Fintechtilt negative
Digital Paymentstilt negative

What Happened

The GST Council is set to discuss imposing an 18% GST on UPI merchant fees for transactions above Rs 2,000, alongside a proposed 0.4% Merchant Discount Rate (MDR) capped at Rs 300, effective October 15. This move aims to bring UPI merchant services under the GST ambit, though merchants can claim Input Tax Credit (ITC).

Why It Matters (for you)

This development is significant as it introduces a new cost component for merchants accepting larger UPI payments, potentially impacting the widespread adoption and growth of UPI for higher-value transactions. While ITC mitigates some impact, the upfront cost and administrative burden could deter smaller merchants or shift preferences to other payment methods, affecting fintech companies heavily invested in UPI.

Impact on Indian Markets

Fintech companies like One97 Communications (PAYTM), which derive significant revenue from payment processing, could face headwinds. Increased costs for merchants might lead to reduced UPI transaction volumes for higher amounts or pressure on their service fees. Other payment gateway providers such as Infibeam Avenues (INFIBEAM) could also see an impact. Banks offering UPI services might experience a marginal slowdown in merchant acquisition for larger transactions.

What Traders Should Watch Next

Traders should closely monitor the outcome of the GST Council meeting on October 7. The final decision on the GST rate and MDR structure will be crucial. Any exemptions or simplified compliance mechanisms could soften the blow. Also, observe merchant adoption rates post-October 15 for transactions above Rs 2,000 to gauge the actual impact on digital payment volumes.

Key Evidence

  • GST Council to discuss 18% levy on UPI merchant fees exceeding Rs 2,000.
  • Proposed 0.4% merchant discount rate (MDR) from October 15, capped at Rs 300.
  • MDR considered a taxable service under GST.
  • Merchants can claim Input Tax Credit (ITC) on GST paid.
  • Risk flag: Uncertainty regarding final GST Council decision.