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Bearish for Private Banks: Deposit Woes Hit HDFCBANK, ICICIBANK Profitability

Analyzing: Bank deposits yet to fully reflect repo rate cuts by et_companies · 25 Mar 2026, 1:14 AM IST (about 1 month ago)

What happened

Indian banks are struggling to attract deposits, as the benefits of policy rate cuts are not fully translating into lower deposit rates. This discrepancy is causing savers to shift funds to other investment avenues, leading to a significant slowdown in deposit growth for banks.

Why it matters

This situation directly impacts bank profitability, as slower deposit growth forces banks to compete more aggressively for funds, keeping their cost of funds elevated. This pressure on Net Interest Margins (NIMs) is a critical factor for the banking sector's financial health and future earnings potential.

Impact on Indian markets

Private sector banks like HDFCBANK, ICICIBANK, and AXISBANK are likely to face more significant headwinds due to their reliance on retail deposits and competitive funding environment. Public sector banks such as SBIN and PNB might be relatively better positioned, as indicated by the article, potentially experiencing less severe impact on their deposit base and profitability.

What traders should watch next

Traders should closely monitor the upcoming quarterly results of Indian banks, particularly focusing on deposit growth figures, Net Interest Margins (NIMs), and commentary on funding costs. Any signs of sustained pressure on these metrics could signal continued challenges for the sector, especially for private banks.

Key Evidence

  • Banks are struggling to attract deposits.
  • Policy rate cuts are slowly reflected in deposit rates.
  • Savers are moving funds to other investments.
  • This situation pressures bank profits.
  • State-run banks are better positioned than private ones.
  • Deposit growth has slowed significantly.
  • Banks are competing for funds, keeping costs high.

Affected Stocks

HDFCBANKHDFC Bank
Negative

Private banks are more vulnerable to deposit growth slowdown and higher funding costs.

ICICIBANKICICI Bank
Negative

Private banks are more vulnerable to deposit growth slowdown and higher funding costs.

AXISBANKAxis Bank
Negative

Private banks are more vulnerable to deposit growth slowdown and higher funding costs.

SBINState Bank of India
Neutral

State-run banks are reportedly better positioned, suggesting less negative impact compared to private peers.

PNBPunjab National Bank
Neutral

State-run banks are reportedly better positioned, suggesting less negative impact compared to private peers.

Sources and updates

Original source: et_companies
Published: 25 Mar 2026, 1:14 AM IST
Last updated on Anadi News: 25 Mar 2026, 9:00 AM IST

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