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Nifty 50 is down 12% from its peak: Is it time for bottom fishing?

Analysis of this story by livemint_markets · 13 Mar 2026, 2:34 PM IST (about 2 months ago)

BEARISH(85%)
hold
-56.7RELIANCEONGCIOCenergyoil & gas

AI Analysis

The energy sector is highly susceptible to geopolitical tensions, with crude oil prices being a primary driver. Rising crude prices can negatively impact Indian oil marketing and refining companies due to increased input costs.

Trading Insight

Maintain a bearish bias on oil marketing and refining stocks; consider short positions or hedging strategies if crude prices continue to rise due to geopolitical instability.
Quick check: RELIANCE neutral (+0.2% 1d), ONGC bearish bias (+0.0% 1d).

Key Evidence

  • Nifty 50 is down 12% from its peak.
  • The US-Iran war remains a variable the market cannot fully discount.
  • The duration of the war will dictate crude oil prices and shape the global macroeconomic outlook.
  • Risk flag: Escalation or de-escalation of the US-Iran conflict
  • Risk flag: Global demand-supply dynamics for crude oil

Affected Stocks

RELIANCEReliance Industries
Negative

As a major player in the energy sector, Reliance Industries is highly sensitive to crude oil price fluctuations, which are directly impacted by geopolitical tensions like the US-Iran conflict.

ONGCOil and Natural Gas Corporation
Negative

Crude oil price volatility due to geopolitical events directly affects ONGC's exploration and production profitability.

IOCIndian Oil Corporation
Negative

Higher crude oil prices can increase input costs for oil marketing companies like IOC, potentially impacting refining margins and profitability.

Sources and updates

Original source: livemint_markets
Published: 13 Mar 2026, 2:34 PM IST
Last updated on Anadi News: 13 Mar 2026, 2:46 PM IST

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Nifty 50 is down 12% from its peak: Is it time for bottom fishing? | Anadi Algo News